Case A
Stated target: 50- 48
- 49
- 50
- 51
- 85
The smaller error belongs to: ____________________
Check Case A interactively ↗Free classroom activity / three cases
Make three predictions, show the arithmetic, then explain why one estimator cannot win every case. Each digital check hides its answer until you choose.
The PDF has a designed student page and a separate worked answer key. Print page 1 for student copies; keep page 2 for discussion.
Student sheet
For each invented set of five readings, predict first. Then calculate the mean (sum ÷ 5), the median (middle value after sorting), and each absolute error (distance from the stated target). Choose the smaller error, or equal error if they tie.
The smaller error belongs to: ____________________
Check Case A interactively ↗The smaller error belongs to: ____________________
Check Case B interactively ↗The smaller error belongs to: ____________________
Check Case C interactively ↗| Case | Mean / error | Median / error | Closer |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 283 ÷ 5 = 56.6 / 6.6 | 50 / 0 | Median |
| B | 260 ÷ 5 = 52 / 0 | 50 / 2 | Mean |
| C | 250 ÷ 5 = 50 / 0 | 50 / 0 | Equal error |
Discussion: The winner depends on both the readings and the reference target. A high reading does not automatically make the median closer; Case B is a counterexample. A tie is possible even with readings at both ends of the scale.
To change only the reference while holding the readings fixed, explore Case A in Target Lens ↗.
To change one reading while holding the reference fixed, find Case A's flip points ↗.
The targets are chosen for these invented exercises. They are not independently measured truths. In real data, a trustworthy target may be unknown; an unusual observation is not automatically invalid.
Use the five-minute lesson ↗ · Change the numbers in the lab ↗
Digital worksheet and blind case checks: aruintelligence.github.io/inward-mathematics-simulator/worksheet.html. The interactive challenge links include the five invented values and target in the URL.